首页 > Travel 博客日记
safarigoldmegaways| $3000 gold price is not a dream! How has central bank strategy become the new vane of gold investment?
24-05-04Travel围观6次
简介 汇通财经讯——在分析黄金价格safarigoldmegaways的未来走势时safarigoldmegaways,央行的购买行为成为了一个不可忽视的因素。花旗银行商品研究部门北美区主管Aakash
汇通财经讯——在分析黄金价格safarigoldmegaways的未来走势时safarigoldmegaways,央行的购买行为成为了一个不可忽视的因素。花旗银行商品研究部门北美区主管Aakash Doshi提供了对黄金市场的深入见解,并对金价做出了预测。
央行购买行为对金价的影响
Doshi指出,央行购买者对金价的敏感度较低,这与珠宝加工市场形成对比,后者通常占黄金市场的50%左右。历史上,珠宝需求是黄金市场的主要推动力,但在过去10到15年里,央行的角色发生了变化。以前是净卖方的央行,在大萧条之后变成了净买家,这一转变对市场供需关系产生了显著影响。
央行购买量及其对市场的意义
央行目前每年购买超过1,000吨黄金,占年度矿产生产的28%,这对市场上的供应产生了重要影响。Doshi强调,央行的购买行为更具战略性,它们可能是最不受价格影响的购买者之一。
黄金价格预测与市场前景
在一份研究报告中,Doshi预测到2025年,黄金可能达到每盎司3,000美元的历史新高。这一预测基于几个关键因素:
强劲的投资者需求:尤其是疫情以来实物黄金销量的显著增加。
新兴市场央行的购买:创下了历史新高,成为推动金价上涨的因素之一。
实物需求和金融宏观因素:除了传统的影响因素(如美元走弱或利率下降)之外,实物需求和宏观因素预期也在推动金价上涨。
Doshi还提到,全球债务水平的膨胀增加了对黄金这一避险资产的需求,这可能意味着黄金历史上每盎司1,000美元的价格上限,已转变为1,900至2,000美元的支撑基础。
风险与机遇并存
尽管存在货币政策可能更为鹰派的风险,Doshi认为黄金的风险回报比仍然倾向于较高的价格。特别是考虑到潜在的美国经济衰退,这可能会在未来六到十二个月内进一步推动黄金价格向每盎司3,000美元迈进。
黄金市场的未来走势充满了不确定性,但央行的购买行为、投资者需求和宏观金融因素的共同作用,为黄金价格提供了强有力的支撑。投资者在考虑投资黄金时,应密切关注这些因素,并在分析的基础上做出明智的投资决策。
Tags:
相关文章
最新发布
- gottliebpinball| The Inaugural Meeting of the Micro-Drama Professional Committee of the China Television Association was held in Beijing
- haktutscoinmaster50| Jindun Shares: The company plans to expand the nuclear power product chain
- potobingo| Top list of leaders in public funds in 2024: Wang Dexiao of Hongde Fund ranks 66th on the new honor list
- pokeronlinemultiplayer| Top list of leaders in public funds in 2024: Anxin Fund Liu Jinling ranks 33rd
- singledeckblackjack| Top list of leaders in public funds in 2024: Xinyuan Fund's Longyi ranking 20th, rising 24 places
- levvvelcomcoinmaster| Roll up a new height! A dividend ETF that can pay dividends up to 12 times a year unveiled
- megamillionresultsforyesterday| Shenyu shares led the gains: the communications sector rose slightly by 0.41% exceeding the three major indexes
- asiangamemalaysia| Shenyu shares led the gains: the communications sector rose slightly by 0.41% exceeding the three major indexes
- rocketcrashgamblinggame| Hengli Petrochemical and Honggang Petrochemical restart expected restoration of PX production amid international oil price shocks
- multiplayerroulette| Jindun Shares: In the future, we will deepen research on technologies such as ducted fans for flying vehicles and strive to achieve technological breakthroughs
点击排行
- rupoker| Home appliances and related: The old-for-new policy is meticulous and helpful to stabilize the home appliance market
- JungleJackpotJingle|抢先揭秘:白银价格飙升至28.08美元,创三年新高,投资者热情高涨!
- lordoftheocean™slot|下跌中继,再破3000?
- williamspinball|百度李彦宏力挺闭源AI模式,预示市场新动向!
- seagameswomen'sfootball2022table| Vosges Shares (002083.SZ): It seems that the increase in shipping costs will have a short-term impact on the European market
- so2t7com| Xiangcai Shares (600095.SH) plans to repurchase no more than 160 million yuan. The share repurchase price shall not exceed 10.04 yuan/share
- captaincookcasino25freespins| Xiao Jin, general manager of Jinan Vanke, was taken away for a personal case and had nothing to do with business operations
- haktuts| How to write an industry investment strategy report